Existing Home Sales

The total annual sales in 2011 were 4.26 million, which is a 1.7 percent increase from 2010.  The total annual sales have been essentially stuck at a very low level:  4.1, 4.3, 4.2, and 4.3 million in each of the past four respective years.

A 5 percent increase to the 4.61 million unit annualized pace in December (seasonally adjusted) is a good finish to a tough year.  If this level of activity can be sustained, we could see 4.6 million sales in 2012, which would represent a decent 7 percent gain.

The median home price of all homes sold in 2011 was $166,100, which was a decline of 3.9 percent from one year ago.

In December, there were 2.4 million homes available for sale, which is the lowest count since March 2005.  At the current sales pace, it would take 6.2 months to exhaust the inventory.  About 5 to 6 months at the national level would correspond to sustained moderate increases in home prices.  Price stabilization or a small price increase is likely to occur from this year onward.  Be mindful that in the winter months, inventory is always lower compared to spring and summer months.

Graphs speak louder than words and here are few graphs to peruse.  The home buyer tax credit occurred in 2009 and the first half of 2010.

Total Existing Home Sales 2001 - 2011

Total Existing Home Sales 2007 - 2011


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